Dividend futures heading for the exit

12 comments / June 4, 2010
After exactly one month of trading, the dividendfutures on the AEX haven’t yet convinced the market. The futures opened for trading on May 3rd, and Susquehanna or SocGen is quoting these futures.

Didn’t really expect turbulent trading, as the Amsterdam financial market is notorious for its unwillingness to trade new instruments other than options. The dividend futures are heading for the financial graveyard stuffed with potato-futures and currency related instruments. There hasn’t been traded any single dividend future contract yet. None. Zero.
Every disadvantage has it’s own advantage, according to Johan Cruyff. This famous quote applies to the financial market as well. Closing down this dividendfuture market can be arranged without any hassle – there is no open interest to deal with. Just switch of the light. However, Euronext would never shut down any product – as there’s hardly any cost involved in keeping a small market open.

All Options Football Tournament edition 2010

55 comments / May 27, 2010
All Options FootballBetween the champions league final and the world cup in South Africa lies another major football event. This saturday, the 29th of May, the annual All Options Football Tournament will be held again.

All Options definitely deserves a lot of brownie points for organizing this tournament again, in cooperation with Eurex, KBC Clearing and Bennington. For the third time it will be played outside on the football pitch of FC Abcoude, in teams consisting of seven players. Indoor soccer rules apply. No flying tackles allowed.

KBC Bank winner last edition

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Win/Win beats Gordon Gekko

25 comments / May 22, 2010

Gordon Gekko is one of the few fictional characters who made it into the serious finance textbooks. His speech for the Teldar Paper stockholders is epic. After two decades, Oliver Stone made his disappointing sequel. Wall Street : Money Never Sleeps. Something with green energy.

Movies about trading are scarce, and in general have not connection with any real finance. Anyway, there’s finally some real good news. The Dutch director Jaap van Heusden has put a lot of effort in making a credible movie about trading in a dealing room. Win/Win has been introduced in the International Film Festival Rotterdam this year. Van Heusden spend a lot time in research, had a lot of conversations with traders and as a result all details are truly authentic.

Well, according to a journalist that is (and what does he know about it?). Let’s just assume it’s true. The story is about a young option trader in the Amsterdam branch of a fictional American bank. Although the setting is a modern office in Amsterdam’s business district, the actors were given a short training at All Options in the exchange building. Besides, the cast has probably been studying this website (and all the comments) for a year. That’s pretty hard work, respect.

More important, the film had very enthusiast reviews (here, in Dutch). All draw the same conclusion ; go see this movie. You’ll have to put some efforts yourself in finding a cinema showing it (check here). Well known actors in Win/Win, but as a small release it probably won’t last long in cinemas so let’s have a look this week. Otherwise you’ll have to hurry to the USA, where it will be showing next week (with subtitles) in New York at the Brooklyn Internation Film Festival.

Anyway, grab this opportunity to show your friends and family what you’re actually doing at your job. Can’t get any easier than this.

The clumsy buy-out of broker IWB

46 comments / May 11, 2010
Independent Wholesale Brokerage was formerly known as Oyens & Van Eeghen brokerage, but among traders it has always been known als IWB.

Completely unknown by the outside world, this firm is arranging trades between profesional clients and market makers with the use of voice brokerage : talking all day to market makers and trading desks and try to have them trade with each other. By the way, there’s a world of difference between brokers and traders.

Spin off by IMC

In spite of its name, it never has been independent as it always has been a part of the IMC trading firm. Anyway, for some reason IMC and/or IWB decided spin off the brokerage.
Even more than than trading firms, a (voice) brokerage firm is completely worthless without the employees. Negotiations started with the management (Jan Hielco & Michiel) for a classic management buy out. For a price of €250.000 they could buy the broker – and the former mother IMC would supply them with a one million financing.

beginner mistakes in negotiations

So far so good. However, both managers made a few minor mistakes. First of all, they didn’t ensure themselves of the support of their employees. These brokers are the true fee earners and in general aren’t shy to defend their rights. The second problem was the deal with IMC. Nothing on paper nor agreements on a taped line. Remember Alex Baldwin in some movie : A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Closing. Always be closing.

The group of six brokers told both their management and IMC to be not supportive to the deal. Instead, they opened talks with IMC’s Wiet Pot and agreed to buy IWB themselves. Wiet Pot sold the brokerage twice and was short one IWB : the managers were told their deal was void.

Anyhow, they threw some unfriendly words to IMC’s boss Wiet Pot who returned the favour and threw them out the building. Fired.

IMC lost in court

When you’ve lost it all you can try your luck in the courthouse. In the legal battle between IWB and the two former managers, the latter have won. Judge decided there is at least some ground for the managers to think they had a deal.

More important, the judge felt some pity for them. Going for a management buy-out, and losing the deal, your job and your reputation is a little harsh. The ban on communication on the matter will be lifted. Perhaps a severance package will have to be agreed upon. Guess the fresh independent firm IWB bears the risk to pay their sacked management. To be continued. Court details pretty readable here (in Dutch).

Deja vu all over again

This wasn’t the first time former Goldman Sachs banker Wiet Pot was responsible for messing up a deal during his function as chief of IMC.

Back in 2007 similar things happened with the energy trading department. Someone advised Pot to transform the energy trading desk in a sort of hedge fund.

The head of energy trading refused to do it. He wasn’t offered an attractive deal. Returning from a holiday, he was flabbergasted to learn his trading team had been secretly signed by Pot to form the energy trading fund. They moved a few desks away, and IMC suddenly had two energy trading desks.

To cut a long story short, the fund was never launched and the second energy trading desk lost money and the traders were subsequently fired.

In both deals Wiet Pot has secretly been negotiating at different levels within the same unit. Probably it is legal and allowed. But quoting Walter Sobchack, “Smokey, this is not ‘Nam. This is bowling. There are rules”. The man feels he’s omnipotent.

The curse of the fat finger

53 comments / May 6, 2010
Chances are you have had a difficult evening explaining your family members the stress and panic caused by the Dow Jones brief cave of nearly 1000 points. After all, it can’t be important as it hasn’t been on national television. And those gamma, vega and delta positions after a 15% gap down in the morning are hard to estimate and impossible to explain.
Rumor has it a Citi trader confused some figures while entering a trade, but I don’t buy this fat finger theory. Erroneous trade entries can shock markets. However, markets just aren’t supposed to be stable and crashes just happen now and then. Maybe difficult to accept without blaming some clown with fat fingers at Citi. Or the algo trading systems. Or any other quant driven trading machine. Maybe they messed up P&G and Accenture, but the market as a whole was happy to fall.The year 2010 has been fairly quiet so far in derivative trading, with implied volatilities melting away to extremely low levels. If you’re lucky you still have some left, prepare for skyrocketing volatilities.

Anyway – a lot of people must have missed the stock market’s dive altogether. It was the largest absolute drop in the Dow in history, and half of the 1987 crash. Here it is in replay – with Jim Cramer saving the market. (Hat tip to blikopdebeurs.com)

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