Flow Traders prepares for IPO

21 comments / February 25, 2015

Vierkantje. Creatief.Quite some big news today. The Dutch high frequency trader Flow Traders is exploring an IPO. The firm is said to be valued over a $1.1 billion. The news broke just five days after Virtu announced to be reviving their IPO plans. It’s a bull market after all.

Roger Hodenius and Jan van Kuijk founded the firm after working together at Optiver and Newtrade. The latter firm wasn’t as famous as Optiver, but in the open outcry era has been a very profitable firm between 1997 and 2003 in the option trading. Jan worked longer at Newtrade than Optiver, Roger came directly from Optiver. They founded Flow Traders in 2004.

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Flow Traders’ code thief walks

2 comments / February 24, 2015

blaf blafIt has been a while, but the alleged code thieves at Flow Traders USA seem to be escaping from prison. Jason Vuu pled guilty to two counts of “unlawful duplication of computer related material”  and two counts of “unlawful use of secret scientific material”. No petty crime, but felonies.

Ever since the conviction of former Goldman Sachs coder Sergey Aleynikov to a shocking eight years of prison, it seems to be a risk to be employed as programmer in the high frequency trading sector. The Aleynikov story didn’t end with the conviction by the way. Released and sued again (wiki).

Similar to Aleynikov, ex-Flow Trader Jason Vuu was also charged by Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance. Vuu was sentenced to five years of probation, and agreed to pay $50k as restitution.

His partner in crime, Simon Lu  (who has no relatives at IMC Chicago) will probably face the same sentence. Lu was not employed at Flow. In an unrelated other case, former Flow Trader employee Glen Cressman has been offered a three year ban from the security business and a restitution of $60k. The judge said he should take it (“very, very generous offer”).

All defendants claimed earlier no part of Flow Traders proprietary trading software called Pit Bull has been copied. By the way, like the names of internal trading software. Pit Bull. Sounds only a little better than Optiver’s Hammer.

TOM shuts down stock venue

3 comments / February 20, 2015

The Order MachineTOM has announced to shut down it’s stock trading venue. In a short statement, strange enough only available in Dutch, it claims the market share of retail stock orders is only between 10% and  20% of all shares traded. And with a market share of 1% in this segment, it’s a loss making operation.

So far for the marketing talk. Market share in stock trading isn’t the most relevant part. Making a profit matters. Running a stock trading exchange looks fairly simple and straightforward to me.

Trouble with HFT

The stock trading part of TOM came under heavy criticism by broker DeGiro. Even ever cautious professor Menkveld thought there’s something wrong with the orders routed through TOM’s Smart Order Engine. Binck promised to sue DeGiro for reasons nobody understands (which will never happen, as I predicted). DeGiro just demanded an answer to the simple question : did HFT benefit from Binck’s retail orders in stocks?

DeGiro was right

Apparently Binck and TOM have investigated the claims made by DeGiro. And hell, they are probably correct. Binck’s reputation was seriously hurt, so something needs to be done. Fixing the Smart Order Router isn’t easy, as getting the stock orders exactly at the same time on different markets is complicated. Read Flash Boys by Michael Lewis.

Shut down operations

An operation with little revenue and big risk in terms of reputation among investors. Easy decision. Frame it with an extra focus on Chi-X. In the options segment they are still doing fine with 50% market share. I bet they’re hoping everyone else will forget about their conflict with DeGiro. Because with this move, one could argue they fully admit their TOM Smart Order Router didn’t work. High frequency traders seem to have taken advantage of Binck’s retail orders.

* Update February 22th

Sources have told me the whole stock trading venue for TOM was nothing more than a required move to gain regulatory approval for opening the option market on TOM. And truth be told, this option market on TOM is working flawless. Depending on a few technical issues, I bet they will be passing the 55% market share against Euronext this year.

Willem Meijer was not amused by the theory linking the close of TOM stock market to DeGiro issue. According to him hardly any financial institutions (retail banks) connected to TOM stock smart order router. Because of this the liquidity providers left TOM stock venue. This wouldn’t match with the story of them making profits of retail orders with high frequency trading strategy.

Problems DeGiro in Sweden

26 comments / February 15, 2015

swedish-kronorMy earlier post on some negative sides of the new broker DeGiro, 9 things I hate about DeGiro, has drawn a lot of visitors. DeGiro kept on expanding to almost every European country – and by doing so all new customers ended up over here (hi). Even gave some interviews to newspapers in Poland and Denmark.

Truth be told, DeGiro is improving their company and the service. Passwords can be changed, and US dividends can maybe be fixed with a W8-Ben form. But expanding to different countries without taking the time to fix the paperwork is asking for trouble. Especially in tax heavy Scandinavia.

Google translate is maybe not the best way to handle official translations. Anyway, this anonymous comment deserves a bigger audience – so taken the opportunity to bring it to the front page. Also would like to underline the conclusion by somebody else – more points on DeGiro’s todo list.

Alex

One small word on DeGiro’s competitors. Noticed for example that Alex, a Dutch broker owned by Binck, is still claiming to be the best internetbroker (nl). Because it has won an award by some sort of jury. Hard to understand. Was an award from four years ago. Even Alex Asset management wasn’t going downhill back then. Apparently they’ve stopped updating their website four years ago.

Over to Sweden.

Problems in DeGiro Sweden

I have taken a look at De Giro’s Swedish website and found a lot of strange things.

1: Tax mess 1

Swedish banks report a number of things to the Swedish tax authority, and the Swedish tax authority uses these things to automatically calculate a lot of taxes. For example, dividend amounts and foreign withholding taxes are automatically reported to the tax authority, so I do not need to report my dividends or request deduction of foreign tax myself. Foreign banks usually do not do this, and De Giro’s Swedish website doesn’t reveal whether De Giro does this. De Giro tries to attract customers in Sweden, so it would be very beneficial for them to do this. If you have to spend a lot of time on filling in tax forms, paying slightly higher fees may be a better option.

2: Tax mess 2

On De Giro’s website, it says that any cash in your account at De Giro automatically is placed in an investment fund. This has two implications:
– If you use any cash (by withdrawing it to your bank account, by buying securities or by paying a fee), then you sell some of your holdings in the investment fund. Each sale of your holdings in the investment fund needs to be reported on a separate line in your income declaration, and you need to calculate the purchase value, sale value and profit and pay taxes accordingly. The taxes should be close to zero, but it takes forever to do the necessary paperwork.
– If you put more cash in your account (by transferring from your bank account, by selling securities or by receiving dividend), then you buy some more holdings in the investment fund. This also needs to be reported to the tax authority, and you need to pay 0.12% of this amount in tax. Also, if you hold some amount in your account on 1 January each year, then you need to pay 0.12% of that amount in tax. Lots of paperwork to do, and the tax may be quite high.
Swedish banks usually do this paperwork automatically, but I’m not sure whether De Giro does this (see ‘Tax mess 1’ above).

3: Tax mess 3

If I hold shares in a foreign company, I need to pay some dividend tax to the country of the company. These taxes are usually defined in international treaties. In some cases, brokers set up their systems so that a country charges more than the amount stipulated in the treaty, and the shareholder then needs to contact the tax authority in the company’s country to request a refund. Lots of paperwork to do and some fees to pay (postage & sometimes bank transfer fees). De Giro does not reveal for which countries the correct tax will be deducted. If De Giro charges a higher tax rate, but a different broker only charges the tax rate stipulated in the international treaty, then using the other broker sounds like a good idea even if De Giro might have minimally lower fees.

4: Tax mess 4

It says that other people may borrow my shares. If my shares have been borrowed by someone when it is time for dividend, then do I pay my foreign dividend tax in the country of the borrower or in the country of the company? In this situation, I receive my dividend from the borrower, not from the foreign company. Affects which tax rate I should pay and which tax authority I should request a refund from.

5: Website mess 1

The website is messy and contradicts itself. For example, according to point 6.3 in the terms of use (https://www.degiro.se/data/pdf/se/Kundavtal.pdf), it is not possible to transfer finansial instruments from De Giro to accounts outside De Giro, but yet, the price list (https://www.degiro.se/data/pdf/se/Prisoversikt.pdf) states that it costs 10 euros per ISIN to transfer financial instruments from De Giro. If something can’t be done, then why does the price list contain a price for doing this? Also, if I am thinking of trying out a new service, I want to know how much it would cost to stop using the service and move all my holdings back to my current broker, should I not be happy with De Giro.

6: Website mess 2

The Swedish translation of the documents is poor and often difficult to understand. For example, the price list contains an entry called ‘Anmälan till aktiesparträffar’ (‘application to shareholder savers’ meetings’), with a listed price of 10 euros. An ‘aktiesparträff’ sounds like something where you meet some friends at a bar and discuss your current trading at the stockmarket. Hardly something that you would involve your broker in. To get some clarity in what it means, I take a look at the Danish price list (https://www.degiro.dk/data/pdf/DK_Gebyroversigt.pdf) instead, where it says ‘Tilmeldelse til aktionærsmøde’. I take the Danish word ‘aktionærsmøde’ and translate each half of it separately into English: ‘aktionær’ = ‘shareholder, ‘møde’ = ‘meeting’. OK, I know what the English term ‘shareholder meeting’ means: it’s the thing which usually happens once per year where shareholder votes for various things. Called ‘generalforsamling’ in Danish and ‘bolagsstämma’ in Swedish. So if I want to know what the Swedish price list means, I apparently have to consult the Danish price list and translate it back into English. Not very user-friendly. The next thing in the Swedish price list (‘Anmälan till emissioner’) also looks very strange. This seems to mean that if a company needs more money and the shareholders receive rights to buy new shares, then it costs at least 50 euros to exercise the rights offers. Looks very strange; most brokers handle this free of charge. Maybe the entry is meant to mean something else which has been mistranslated.

Due to all of these problems, I have not attempted to use De Giro yet as it might be a bad idea to do so. De Giro’s services on the Nordic market are at about the same cost level as those of my current broker, but De Giro is a lot cheaper on the other markets it offers. Oh well, it is easier to simply forget about De Giro, I suppose, but it would have been nice to get easy access to the Japanese market.

Update February 20th : Reaction from DeGiro

  • Tax mess 1. We are currently working on this. I do not expect any problems here.
  • Tax mess 2. We have discussed this with our tax experts (EY) and it is simply not correct what you are writing here. We have asked EY to come up with a statement that we can publish. This, however, takes some time.
  • Tax mess 3. As you know this has already been taken care of for the US. We are currently looking to do this for other countries as well. This is not any different from other brokers and, as far as I know, other brokers only also facilitate this for the US.
  • Tax mess 4. When your shares are lent out you receive 100% of the gross dividend. This would be an advantage.
  • Website mess : According to our Swedish employees this could be somewhat confusing. However, everyone knows what is meant by this. We will change it accordingly.

Bear case for Binck

20 comments / February 7, 2015

Binck log outMonday February 9th 2015 the online broker Binck will open the books. The first earnings report after a quarter full of misery. Quite a few figures to check. The consensus is their profit will drop a lot compared to last year’s fourth quarter. I’ve bought a few dozen puts this week. Count on them to deliver results which fall short of even the lowered expectations.

Alex Asset Management in downward spiral

First of all there’s Alex asset management. The idea to invest with lower risks with an automated system selling when markets drop is naive. Markets can behave like this for a year or two ; but trying to time the market with this simple idea will never work in the long run. Period. Missing a few of the best stock market days will ruin your result.

See the results over 2014 for the asset management division. Clients will start to realize they are investing in some kind of folly. If investors realize this, they will (and they should) withdraw their money. It’s not an underperforming stock they’ve invested in, but far worse : a system which will never work. Assets under management will drop below 2 bln, maybe even approaching 1.5 bln.

Some of those terrible v-shape movements in the market lately. Binck announced to fix the problem by adding US stocks. Adding more colors won’t help a thing if you’re betting on the wrong system. Guess what, stocks rise and fall on the other side of the atlantic as well. Binck blames it on the non-trending markets. Sure.

Impairment on Alex

In addition, the VEB has started an investigation in the terrible performance of Alex. Let’s assume the automated asset management will continue to underperform – as any experienced asset manager will expect. There’s a possibility of a significant impairment around the corner. It’s not a side activity, but was seen as a key driver of growth.

Active traders moving to DeGiro

Most money comes from active traders. Jumping in and out of single stocks, turbos and options. Especially the latter can ignite a series of trades (rolling the short calls). Well, this can be done against much lower fees at contender DeGiro. Old people investing a little bit now and then aren’t the cash cows for any brokerage. This being said, the Bols IPO is still bigger at Binck than competitors. A number of 2000 clients signed up for the shares, with DeGiro having 300 clients for Bols.

Number of accounts will remain the same. But if any retail investor is like me, then the boring passive investments remain where they are (Binck, Lynx, IB) but the active trading will be done from a brand new DeGiro account. This will hurt Binck – as they are dependent on a small group of very active traders. Their website is slick, but not ready to pay for it.

Binck client flow given to HFT sharks

Finally, there’s the conflict with DeGiro. Binck was accused to sell out retail orders to HFT sharks. Probably by accident due a dumb router. Still, DeGiro seems to be correct. Binck announced to sue them. Talk is cheap (supply excess of demand). They won’t do it. Binck is hoping everybody will forget about it. Don’t count on it.

Interest rates are zero

In a high interest rate world, there’s free money to be made. After all, they have a bank license. Get a nice interest spread on all the money clients have in their accounts. Unfortunately for Binck, the interest rates aren’t what they used to be.

Unable to sell Able, Pieter Aartsen fired

The firm had reached a deal to sell Able to French investors BlackFin. Suddenly the sale was aborted last November. Well, bad luck one could say. Blame it on the French. The fact is the whole unit has been dismantled afterwards. This Able / BPO unit does not exist anymore and the responsible director, ceo Pieter Aartsen has been fired.

Able / BPO will be slowly liquidated, according to sources. This in sharp contrast with the official statement the unit may eventually be for sale again. Curious what their statement will be this time. This is quite a big deal. And a disclaimer here, didn’t have this information when I bought the puts this week.

Not heading for guru status

Not really my niche to predict direction of stocks. Expect the results to be awful, but by the time you may read this I risk looking like a fool. Won’t update this post monday, head for iex.nl for the latest news on monday morning.

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